Tinubu's APC unveils its 2027 manifesto: 6% growth, inflation below 8%, 10,000MW of power and 200,000 homes promised
Nigeria's ruling APC has unveiled a 109-page manifesto for President Bola Tinubu's second-term bid, 'From Reform to Prosperity Agenda 2027–2031'. It promises 6% annual economic growth, inflation below 8%, peak electricity distribution of 10,000 megawatts, 200,000 affordable homes and 78,000 new security recruits by 2031. The opposition ADC says the document recycles unfulfilled 2023 promises and demands an account of those first. The targets are the party's promises, stated in its document — not outcomes.
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Key points
- The 109-page manifesto promises 6% growth, inflation below 8%, 10,000MW peak power distribution, 200,000 homes and 78,000 security recruits by 2031.
- The power promise is distribution, in the document's own wording — some reports describe it as generation.
- The ADC says the document recycles unfulfilled 2023 promises and wants an account of those first.
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- Every figure here is a campaign promise stated in the document, not a result.
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What happened
Tinubu won in 2023 on the Renewed Hope agenda, then removed the fuel subsidy and floated the naira; inflation peaked at 34.8% in December 2024 before falling, on the manifesto's own figures, to 14.63% by September 2026. The new document argues the foundations are laid and the second term would deliver the improvements — in the president's foreword, 'the food on our tables, the power in our homes, the security of our families, and the dignity of meaningful work'. The presidential election is on 16 January 2027.
Both sides, in their own words
Both sides heard. Neither believed for free. Publishing a side's version is not endorsing it — the claim checks below are where verdicts live.
Side A · The APC
- The manifesto is a contract between the people and their leaders, and voters should hold the party accountable to it, the president's chief of staff said at the unveiling.
- Every commitment will carry a baseline, a target, a cost, a named owner and a reporting date in a public delivery tracker, the party says.
Side B · The critics
- The opposition ADC says the manifesto recycles unfulfilled 2023 promises and reads like the programme of a party seeking power for the first time; it demands an account of the 2023 commitments first.
- Experts at the unveiling panel questioned the 10,000MW power target, saying transmission bottlenecks, gas supply and legacy debts stand in the way.
Independently verified
5 claims independently verified — listed in the claim-by-claim check below.Not yet verified
Nothing outstanding.What we know / what we don't know yet
What we know
- What the manifesto promises, in the document's own figures, and the baselines it states for growth, inflation and power.
- That the ADC has rejected it as recycled promises, and that analysts note it costs no commitment.
- That the presidential election is on 16 January 2027.
What we don't know yet
- How much of the 50,000 police recruitment is new — a rising police recruitment total had already been announced by the government in 2025.
- How the promises would be paid for in detail — the document says new priorities are funded first from recovered leakages, and costs no commitment.
- Whether the delivery tracker the party promises will be published, and in what form.
Claim by claim
Show all claims (5)
Why this label: The unveiling, the document's title, length and structure are reported in agreement by BusinessDay, which read the document, the Federal Ministry of Information's own release, and other outlets at the event.
On the ladder: a claim earns Verified from primary evidence, or from two independent sources that do not copy each other.
Why this label: The targets and the manifesto's own baseline figures are as stated in the document and reported by BusinessDay; they are the party's promises and its chosen baselines, carried as such.
On the ladder: a claim earns Verified from primary evidence, or from two independent sources that do not copy each other.
Why this label: The distribution wording is BusinessDay's reading of the document itself; the looser 'generation' phrasing in other reports is noted so the promise is carried in the document's own terms.
On the ladder: a claim earns Verified from primary evidence, or from two independent sources that do not copy each other.
Why this label: The housing, recruitment and jobs figures are stated in the document and reported in agreement by BusinessDay, Punch's widely syndicated report and Proshare's analysis of the manifesto.
On the ladder: a claim earns Verified from primary evidence, or from two independent sources that do not copy each other.
Why this label: The ADC's response is its own published statement; the costing and dating points are Proshare's analysis of the document; the power experts spoke at the unveiling panel, reported by The Sun.
On the ladder: a claim earns Verified from primary evidence, or from two independent sources that do not copy each other.
Why it matters
Nigerians will judge this manifesto against their own bills: food prices, electricity that still averages about 4,000MW for more than 200 million people, and insecurity the document promises 78,000 recruits to fight. The argument of the campaign is now set — the APC says judge the trajectory, the opposition says judge the 2023 promises first — and the document's own baselines give voters numbers to hold both sides to.
Background
Show the background timeline (4)
Tinubu wins the presidency on the eight-point Renewed Hope agenda; fuel subsidy removal and currency reforms follow.
Inflation peaks at 34.8%, the manifesto's own cited figure.
Inflation stands at 14.63% and second-quarter growth at 4.43%, on the figures the manifesto itself cites.
The APC unveils the 109-page 'From Reform to Prosperity Agenda 2027–2031' in Abuja; the ADC answers the next day.
Update history
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Published in Checking state — the manifesto's promises are confirmed from the document, and how they would be costed and tracked is not yet published.